Zanzalintinib is a small molecule commercialized by Exelixis, with a leading Phase III program in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer. According to Globaldata, it is involved in 12 clinical trials, of which 7 are ongoing, and 5 are planned. GlobalData uses proprietary data and analytics to provide a complete picture of Zanzalintinib’s valuation in its risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV). Buy the model here.
The revenue for Zanzalintinib is expected to reach an annual total of $112 mn by 2035 in the US based off GlobalData’s Expiry Model. The drug’s revenue forecasts along with estimated costs are used to measure the value of an investment opportunity in that drug, otherwise known as net present value (NPV). Applying the drug’s phase transition success rate to remaining R&D costs and likelihood of approval (LoA) to sales related costs provides a risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV). The rNPV model is a more conservative valuation measure that accounts for the risk of a drug in clinical development failing to progress.
Zanzalintinib Overview
Zanzalintinib fumarate (XL-092) is under development for the treatment of solid tumors such as metastatic renal cell carcinoma, metastatic urothelial carcinoma including the renal pelvis, ureter, urinary bladder, urethra cancer, metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer, leiomyosarcoma, metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma, non-small cell lung cancer, papillary renal cell carcinoma, recurrent head and neck cancer squamous cell carcinoma, oral cavity cancer, oropharyngeal cancer, hypopharyngeal cancer, laryngeal cancer, pancreatic NET, extra-pancreatic NET and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative breast cancer (HER2- breast cancer). The drug candidate is administered through oral route. It acts by targeting protein tyrosine kinases which constitutes of MET, VEGFR, AXL and MER, TYRO3.
Exelixis Overview
Exelixis is a biopharmaceutical company that focuses on the development and commercialization of small molecule therapies for the treatment of cancer. The company’s marketed products include, Cometriq (cabozantinib), an inhibitor of multiple receptor tyrosine kinases; Cabometyx (cabozantinib) developed for the treatment of patients with advanced renal cell carcinoma (RCC), and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The company’s major pipeline product candidates include zanzalintinib, XB002 and XL102 for the treatment of advanced or metastatic solid tumors, and CBX-12 for advanced metastatic refractory solid tumors. The company has collaborative partnerships with biopharmaceutical companies to advance the development of potential therapies for cancer and other serious diseases. Exelixis is headquartered in Alameda, California, the US.
The company reported revenues of (US Dollars) US$1,830.2 million for the fiscal year ended December 2023 (FY2023), an increase of 13.6% over FY2022. In FY2023, the company’s operating margin was 9.3%, compared to an operating margin of 12.5% in FY2022. In FY2023, the company recorded a net margin of 11.4%, compared to a net margin of 11.3% in FY2022.
For a complete picture of Zanzalintinib’s valuation, buy the drug’s risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV) here.
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