VTX-2735 is a small molecule commercialized by Ventyx Biosciences, with a leading Phase II program in Familial Cold Autoinflammatory Syndrome (Familial Cold Urticaria). According to Globaldata, it is involved in 3 clinical trials, of which 2 were completed, and 1 is planned. GlobalData uses proprietary data and analytics to provide a complete picture of VTX-2735’s valuation in its risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV). Buy the model here.
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The revenue for VTX-2735 is expected to reach an annual total of $120 mn by 2037 in the US based off GlobalData’s Expiry Model. The drug’s revenue forecasts along with estimated costs are used to measure the value of an investment opportunity in that drug, otherwise known as net present value (NPV). Applying the drug’s phase transition success rate to remaining R&D costs and likelihood of approval (LoA) to sales related costs provides a risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV). The rNPV model is a more conservative valuation measure that accounts for the risk of a drug in clinical development failing to progress.
VTX-2735 Overview
VTX-2735 is under development for the treatment of systemic inflammatory diseases, recurrent pericarditis, cryopyrin-associated periodic syndrome (CAPS) including familial cold autoinflammatory syndrome (familial cold urticaria) and unspecified cardiovascular disorders. It is administered through oral route in the form of suspension. The drug candidate acts by targeting NACHT, LRR and PYD domains-containing protein 3 (NLRP3).
Ventyx Biosciences Overview
Ventyx Biosciences is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing oral medicines for patients suffering with autoimmune and inflammatory disorders. The company is headquartered in San Diego, California, the US.
The operating loss of the company was US$208 million in FY2023, compared to an operating loss of US$113.1 million in FY2022. The net loss of the company was US$193 million in FY2023, compared to a net loss of US$108.4 million in FY2022.
For a complete picture of VTX-2735’s valuation, buy the drug’s risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV) here.
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To create this model, GlobalData takes into account factors including patent law, known and projected regulatory approval processes, cash flows, drug margins and company expenses. Combining these data points with GlobalData’s world class analysis creates high value models that companies can use to help in evaluation processes for each drug or company.
The rNPV method integrates the probability of a drug reaching a clinical stage into the cash flow at that time, which provides a more accurate valuation, as it considers the probability that the drug never makes it through the clinical pathway to commercialization. GlobalData’s rNPV model uses proprietary likelihood of approval (LoA) and phase transition success rate (PTSR) data for the indication in the highest development stage, which can be found on GlobalData’s Pharmaceutical Intelligence Center.
