GSK-4178116A is a live attenuated vaccine commercialized by GSK, with a leading Phase II program in Chicken Pox. According to Globaldata, it is involved in 1 clinical trial, which is ongoing. GlobalData uses proprietary data and analytics to provide a complete picture of GSK-4178116A’s valuation in its risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV). Buy the model here.
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The revenue for GSK-4178116A is expected to reach an annual total of $79 mn by 2038 in the US based off GlobalData’s Expiry Model. The drug’s revenue forecasts along with estimated costs are used to measure the value of an investment opportunity in that drug, otherwise known as net present value (NPV). Applying the drug’s phase transition success rate to remaining R&D costs and likelihood of approval (LoA) to sales related costs provides a risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV). The rNPV model is a more conservative valuation measure that accounts for the risk of a drug in clinical development failing to progress.
GSK-4178116A Overview
GSK-4178116A is under development for the prevention of varicella (chickenpox) caused by the new strain (US) of varicella-zoster virus (VZV). It is administered through subcutaneous route.
GSK Overview
GSK is a healthcare company that focuses on developing, manufacturing and commercializing general medicines, specialty medicines and vaccines. It offers drugs for the treatment of diseases such as HIV, respiratory, cancer, immuno-inflammation, anti-viral, central nervous system (CNS), metabolic, cardiovascular, and urogenital, anti-bacterials, dermatology and rare diseases. The company also offers over-the-counter (OTC) products for pain relief, oral health, nutrition, skin health and gastro-intestinal diseases. GSK’s vaccine portfolio covers various diseases including hepatitis, diphtheria, tetanus, whooping cough, rotavirus and HPV infections, measles and bacterial meningitis, among others. The company sells its products through wholesalers, pharmacies, hospitals, physicians and other groups worldwide. GSK is headquartered in Brentford, Middlesex, the UK.
For a complete picture of GSK-4178116A’s valuation, buy the drug’s risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV) here.
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GlobalData, the leading provider of industry intelligence, provided the underlying data, research, and analysis used to produce this article.
To create this model, GlobalData takes into account factors including patent law, known and projected regulatory approval processes, cash flows, drug margins and company expenses. Combining these data points with GlobalData’s world class analysis creates high value models that companies can use to help in evaluation processes for each drug or company.
The rNPV method integrates the probability of a drug reaching a clinical stage into the cash flow at that time, which provides a more accurate valuation, as it considers the probability that the drug never makes it through the clinical pathway to commercialization. GlobalData’s rNPV model uses proprietary likelihood of approval (LoA) and phase transition success rate (PTSR) data for the indication in the highest development stage, which can be found on GlobalData’s Pharmaceutical Intelligence Center.
