Asundexian is a small molecule commercialized by Bayer, with a leading Phase III program in Ischemic Stroke. According to Globaldata, it is involved in 12 clinical trials, of which 8 were completed, 2 are ongoing, 1 is planned, and 1 was terminated. GlobalData uses proprietary data and analytics to provide a complete picture of Asundexian’s valuation in its risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV). Buy the model here.
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The revenue for Asundexian is expected to reach an annual total of $36 mn by 2035 globally based off GlobalData’s Expiry Model. The drug’s revenue forecasts along with estimated costs are used to measure the value of an investment opportunity in that drug, otherwise known as net present value (NPV). Applying the drug’s phase transition success rate to remaining R&D costs and likelihood of approval (LoA) to sales related costs provides a risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV). The rNPV model is a more conservative valuation measure that accounts for the risk of a drug in clinical development failing to progress.
Asundexian Overview
Asundexian is under development for ischemic stroke in patients with acute non-cardioembolic ischemic stroke or high-risk transient ischemic attack. The drug candidate is administered through oral route in the form of a tablet. It is a small molecule targeting factor XIa.
It was also under development of atrial fibrillation and acute myocardial infarction.
Bayer Overview
Bayer carries out the discovery, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of products for human health, and agriculture. It provides medicines for cardiovascular diseases, women’s health, cancer, hematology, ophthalmology, and other indications. It also strives to develop new molecules and technologies for use in the fields of medicine and modern agriculture. The company’s product portfolio includes prescription products, specialty pharmaceuticals, diagnostic imaging equipment, non-prescription (over-the-counter or OTC) products, seeds, crop protection solutions and non-agricultural pest control solutions. Bayer markets its products through wholesalers, pharmacies, hospitals, and retailers. It operates through a network of subsidiaries in Asia-Pacific, Europe, North America, Latin America, Africa, and the Middle East. Bayer is headquartered in Leverkusen, North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany.
The company reported revenues of (Euro) EUR47,637 million for the fiscal year ended December 2023 (FY2023), a decrease of 6.1% over FY2022. In FY2023, the company’s operating margin was 1.3%, compared to an operating margin of 13.8% in FY2022. The net loss of the company was EUR2,941 million in FY2023, compared to a net profit of EUR4,150 million in FY2022.
The company reported revenues of EUR11,144 million for the second quarter ended June 2024, a decrease of 19% over the previous quarter.
For a complete picture of Asundexian’s valuation, buy the drug’s risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV) here.
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GlobalData, the leading provider of industry intelligence, provided the underlying data, research, and analysis used to produce this article.
To create this model, GlobalData takes into account factors including patent law, known and projected regulatory approval processes, cash flows, drug margins and company expenses. Combining these data points with GlobalData’s world class analysis creates high value models that companies can use to help in evaluation processes for each drug or company.
The rNPV method integrates the probability of a drug reaching a clinical stage into the cash flow at that time, which provides a more accurate valuation, as it considers the probability that the drug never makes it through the clinical pathway to commercialization. GlobalData’s rNPV model uses proprietary likelihood of approval (LoA) and phase transition success rate (PTSR) data for the indication in the highest development stage, which can be found on GlobalData’s Pharmaceutical Intelligence Center.
